Should I Install a Heat Pump Now or Wait for Mass Save Increases?

Direct Answer: Install Now

Three reasons:

1. Current rebate at all-time high: $10K-$16K vs $7,500 cap as recent as 2023. Speculative future $20K rebate is unconfirmed; current is guaranteed.
2. Heating cost while waiting: every winter on old furnace = $1,500-$3,500 oil/propane, $400-$700 gas. Two winters waiting = $3,000-$7,000 lost vs heat pump operating cost.
3. Tech mature, contractor scheduling tightening: Mitsubishi Hyper-Heat + Fujitsu XLTH proven since 2018. Lead times growing 4-8 weeks as adoption accelerates.

   Frequently Asked Questions

   Are Mass Save rebates likely to go DOWN?

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   Very unlikely through 2030. MA climate plan needs accelerating adoption. Funding (System Benefits Charge) stable. Risk of decrease is essentially zero through 2030; risk of waiting and missing peak incentive window is real.

   What if I wait and rebates DO increase?

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   You miss 1-2 winters of operating cost savings ($1,500-$7,000) for an uncertain future increase. Math overwhelmingly favors install now.

   References & Sources

   1. Mass Save heat pump rebate program. https://www.masssave.com/saving/residential-rebates/heat-pumps